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Thank you, Mr. Chair. I appreciate the diligence of this committee. You're actually doing two jobs at once. I can see the headline now in the media, “SCAAF double dips.” We'll have a good story to tell coming out of this, I'm sure.
I have with me today my deputy minister, Suzanne Vinet; Mary Komarynsky, executive vice-president with the Canadian Food Inspection Agency; Pierre Corriveau, assistant deputy minister, corporate management branch at Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada; and Greg Meredith, assistant deputy minister, strategic policy branch at Agriculture Canada. On the other side, I have Peter Everson, vice-president, corporate management, Canadian Food Inspection Agency; and Paul Mayers, associate vice-president, policy and programs, CFIA.
It's always a pleasure to be at this table. I thank you for your kind invitation to be here with you today. This committee continues to do important work for the sector, including your current work on grains and oil seeds as part of larger study on the food supply chain here in Canada.
The 2013-2014 main estimates you have before you are the starting point for a transformative shift as a result of the new Growing Forward 2 agriculture policy framework that starts in just over a month from today. This new framework will invest more than $3 billion over the coming five years—that's $600 million a year in both federal and cost-shared initiatives. This is an increase of 50% in funding for cost-shared strategic initiative compared to the predecessor, Growing Forward 1.
The future prospects for the sector have created an opportunity to focus on proactive investments to generate growth and productivity across the sector from coast to coast to coast.
I would note that funding for these Growing Forward 2 cost-shared initiatives is expected to be presented to Parliament in supplementary estimates and is therefore not reflected in these main estimates. I will repeat: these estimates do not reflect the future moneys that will be invested in food safety under Growing Forward 2. To suggest that the figures you have before you represent any sort of decrease in food safety—and I know that's been done—would be playing loose with the facts, something that Canadians do not deserve. These figures will be bolstered in the supplementary estimates once federal, provincial, and territorial GF2 spending agreements are finalized in the coming days. As well, the estimates reflect the lowered draw on our demand-driven BRM programming, due to strong commodity prices.
We've had a busy agenda year since we last met. We passed amendments to the Canada Grain Act to drive the continuous modernization of Canada's $16 billion grain industry. We introduced Bill to strengthen our rail system by giving shippers the right to a service agreement with the railways that serve them. We have backstopped that process by renewing the mandate of the crops logistics working group to improve the performance of the supply chain for all crops across Canada.
We're also now more than halfway through the first crop year under marketing freedom. Already, marketing freedom is re-energizing the western grain industry. We're seeing good movement of wheat, durum, and barley, with higher volumes through the system and higher exports year-to-date. Farmers were able to take advantage of high prices selling off the combine while using risk management tools like pooling through the new reinvigorated CWB. It's called choice, it's called freedom, and it's working. Marketing freedom is only one part of our efforts to drive a prosperous market-oriented agricultural industry that will continue to help drive the Canadian economy.
Over the past year we have made some real and tangible progress, including expanding our access to the Japanese market for our high-quality beef products, a move that will double the annual value of this market, some $150 million; cutting red tape by eliminating duplication and extra cost; negotiating and putting in place a new federal-provincial-territorial framework with no gaps in federal programming; achieving a positive decision from the WTO on country of origin labelling; and forging ahead on new international opportunities for our Canadian producers and processors. Looking ahead, the outlook is bright, with a strong farm economy, growing global demand, and world-class producers here in Canada. They are, of course, one of our most valuable resources.
Yesterday, Agriculture Canada released the annual farm income forecast, along with the outlook for the medium term. I know, Mr. Chair, that we have enough copies to hand them out to everyone in both official languages and I'm happy to do that.
This news is positive for a number of key indicators of the health of the farm sector overall. Once again, the sector will report record high income levels for 2012 and can count on a continued positive outlook for 2013. For 2012 net cash income for the entire sector is expected to rise 14%. The average net operating income for Canadian farms is expected to rise 50% above the past five-year average. This is good news, Mr. Chair.
The average net worth is expected to grow by 8% to $1.8 million per farm. Over the next decade, strong global demand, particularly from major emerging economies, will underpin continued strong pricing and growth for our agricultural sector. Canadian grain and oilseed prices are expected to remain at higher than historical levels over the medium term, with modest growth for cattle and hog producers.
There is good news on the export side as well, Mr. Chair. The numbers are just in and show that fiscal 2012 was Canada's best export year on record for the agriculture and agrifood sector. The industry posted a 7.4% increase, to $47.7 billion, a new record, which is not bad with the global recession still on.
The bottom line is that it's a great time to be involved in Canadian agriculture. Our government will continue to work with industry to maintain this positive momentum so that farmers can stay ahead of emerging competitors and take full advantage of growing opportunities both here and abroad.
As a government, we must foster the right conditions that farmers require to succeed, and we'll do that by continuing to drive market development with a strong trade agenda that includes new bilateral and regional free trade agreements. We'll modernize the legislative tools that the sector requires to remain competitive by reforming the regulatory framework to strengthen the agricultural sector's capacity to take advantage of market-based opportunities here in Canada and abroad, and by focusing on transformative, proactive investments, especially innovation under the Growing Forward 2 framework, as I said, starting in just over a month.
During my more than five years as agriculture minister I've been across the country meeting face to face with producers, and the message I'm hearing loud and clear is we need to move beyond the status quo, and the time is now. We need to look ahead, not backward, toward positive, proactive initiatives that will move the industry forward.
It's this kind of proactive vision that lies behind Growing Forward 2, the new five-year framework for agriculture that came out of our FPT ministers meeting in Whitehorse in early September of last fall. Growing Forward 2 sets the right conditions for success. At its core is a 50% increase in cost-shared strategic investments in innovation, competitiveness, and market development. That's a $3-billion increase over the next five years, or $600 million a year in targeted, strategic investments to move the industry forward.
Growing Forward 2 marks a major shift in our focus toward realizing the high economic and productive potential for the Canadian agriculture and agrifood sector. GF2 kicks in on April 1, as I said, and three federal-only programs are AgriInnovation, AgriMarketing, and AgriCompetitiveness. As I said, those are federal-only programs.
AgriInnovation is now taking applications. It will focus on investments that will help the industry get new products and technologies off the boardroom tables and out into the marketplace. It will continue to support the science cluster model, which has done a great job of driving industry-led research across a number of sectors.
The new AgriMarketing program will help producers and processors gain and maintain access to markets, both at home and abroad. We'll do that by breaking down trade barriers, responding to consumer demands for food safety and traceability, showcasing on the world our top quality agricultural products here in Canada, and by showing our lighter environmental footprint.
Canadian agriculture has a tremendous story to tell, as I said, from that lighter environmental footprint to many new value-added products.
AgriMarketing will leverage that advantage and help the industry turn sales leads into closed deals. We'll also be strengthening the Market Access Secretariat. Mr. Chair, as you know and as the committee knows, they're basically our SWAT team. They're helping to take down trade barriers to technical, science-based solutions, and they've done an excellent job for us.
Trade is critical to the farming sector in Canada. A full 60% of pork, 70% of wheat, and 85% of canola and canola products are shipped beyond our borders every year. Trade brings jobs and growth to our economy. That's why our government continues to pursue the most aggressive trade agenda in Canadian history. During our time in office so far we've concluded negotiations for six free trade agreements with nine countries. We're pushing hard in other agreements, like CETA, where we continue to work toward a positive outcome. Negotiations are ongoing with more focused and frequent meetings to resolve outstanding and sensitive issues, including agricultural market access. Likewise, Canada's membership on the TPP will improve Canadian farmers and processors' access to critical emerging Asian markets.
Finally, the AgriCompetitiveness program will strengthen industry's capacity to adapt and be profitable in domestic and global markets. Through directed investments, we will work with the sector to adapt to rapidly changing and emerging global and domestic opportunities and issues they face, respond to market trends, enhance business and entrepreneurial capacity, and, of course, attract the next generation of farmers.
Of course, none of this is to say there aren't risks and challenges to farming. There always will be. Governments will continue to offer an extensive suite of business risk management programs to help farmers cope with severe market volatility and of course weather-related disasters.
Likewise, we continue to take concrete steps to ensure our food safety systems are effective, responsive, transparent, and accountable to the Canadians they serve. To that end, last fall the government passed new food safety legislation with the Safe Food for Canadians Act. The act provides the Canadian Food Inspection Agency with new and enhanced authorities to deliver effective food inspection services. It also strengthens the agency's enforcement and compliance capabilities. This new legislation is the foundation for a modernized inspection service. These estimates reflect a new investment of $11 million to modernize Canada's food safety inspection system.
So my message to this table today is that with our continued hard work, Canadian agriculture will continue to prosper and grow. Global demand, as you know, is growing for food, food that will come from highly progressive and productive farms across Canada. We are creating the conditions to unlock the potential of agriculture as a continuing economic driver by modernizing our grain industry through marketing freedom, Canadian Grain Commission reforms and, of course, rail service reforms; driving regulatory reform to spur innovation; and making proactive investments in innovation and market development under Growing Forward 2.
It's an exciting time to be involved in agriculture. Young people are once again looking seriously at a career in agriculture, either on or off the farm gate. There's much to do. Our government is committed, like you, to growing Canada's agriculture and food industry and helping it reach its full potential as an economic powerhouse in this great country.
Thank you, Mr. Chair, and as always, I look forward to the committee's questions.
And thank you, Minister, for being with us. It's always a pleasure to see you, of course.
Let me start with the comments you made yesterday in response to a question, when you talked about the issue that these are only estimates. You suggested I should know that, which of course I do. Supplementary estimates during the year would continue to potentially feed additional funds to particular programs and, of course, specifically I'm talking about the food safety and biosecurity risk management program, which, according to these estimates, shows a 32% reduction.
Your response to me in question period yesterday was, don't worry about that, we have additional estimates coming and we'll add money to that.
Let me put that in the context of your colleague at the cabinet table, the . If I could use a colloquial term, I believe he's the guy with the chequebook. He actually said that these estimates would be a harbinger of things to come.
Now I looked up the word “harbinger” because it's a pretty big word. So I looked it up and it's a sense of this is what will probably be coming down the road; you should be prepared for this. So this isn't about preparing for more, Minister. Your colleague at the cabinet table, the gentleman with the chequebook, is saying, “Be prepared for less, not more”.
So in light of your response to me yesterday in question period, when you told me to be prepared for more, your colleague is actually telling you to be prepared for less. So I guess I would ask you, Minister, are you right and Minister Clement wrong, or is Minister Clement right and he just hasn't told you yet that you're not going to get more?
Thank you, Minister, and your staff, for being here this morning.
You know, I have to commend you, Minister; you're always willing to show up in front of this committee, and when you're here, you're not scared to answer any questions. You tackle everything head-on, and I really appreciate you for that. It just shows you how well you know your files.
Minister, I have two areas that I want to go into. One is to talk about the current Canadian status of the farm economy, and the other one is about the CFIA, perhaps to help you explain to Mr. Valeriote exactly how the estimates and the supplementaries work so that he can maybe get a better idea of how this actually works.
When I go back to my riding, one thing that constituents know is that this government is focused on jobs, long-term growth, the Canadian economy, and long-term prosperity. They see that in our policies.
An example of one of the policies is the marketing freedom policy we did to allow farmers to sell their wheat and barley outside the Canadian Wheat Board, and what that policy did for returns for farmers in the grain belt.
One thing I'm hearing from my constituents, and reading in the papers, is that we have breaking records when it comes to profits. Agriculture is on a very firm foundation for future success.
Can you just give us an update on exactly how the farm economy is doing and on where you see it heading?
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What I'm really saying is that not only was this estimate out by a scope of $42 million, but the previous one, for which we now know the actual expenditures—the previous budget year, beyond this one—is also different from the estimates.
I understand that it changes. I'm not holding people to fault, in the sense that this is our best estimate—that's why these are called “estimates”, of course. The issue becomes that we're now saying that we need to spend $728 million this fiscal year based on what we've already done through supplements (A), (B), and (C). But next year, you're saying, we're going to spend $687.8 million—give or take, without rounding it off nicely—which is $2 million more than you did in this budget estimate year, but the reality is that it's actually $40 million less than we're estimating that we're going to spend.
So since we were off by such a piece last time we estimated, how do we have any sense of confidence that we're not literally off by the same scope on this particular estimate? And if we are, if we needed $728-plus million this fiscal year—because inflation is inflation, and I recognize that there's been somewhat of a leveling out of wages and some reductions, albeit at CFIA there have been increases in the number of people, and I've acknowledged that and have done so in the past.... That being the case, how do you intend to manage with about $40-odd million less next year than you did this year, considering that you actually needed to get an additional $42 million more than you needed when you estimated at the beginning of last year?
I guess I'm not saying that you're not good at arithmetic; I'm just not so sure you're good at forecasting. What gives us confidence that the forecast for next year through the main estimates is any better than last year's forecast?
There are two parts to help me with this. One is giving me a sense of confidence that you forecasted correctly—because it is a forecast, and I admit that. And if it is a forecast, have you built in some sort of contingency fund, because that's normally what I used to do as a corporate chair when I was in municipal governance. Is there one inside that estimate?
Second, where do you intend to find the $40-odd million that you actually have to take out of what you just spent?
Could you help me with that? And if we run out of time, if you could supply it in writing, that would be wonderful—if you run out of time.
Thank you, Mr. Everson.
Basically, the estimates that are produced, which are in front of you today, are the authority received to date at a point in time. That normally is around early January. There is a cut-off date that is imposed by Treasury Board and any subsequent approval will be reflected in the supplementary estimates.
If you refer, for example, to page II-1 of the estimates, or in general, when we were at this committee last year, the estimates of the department were about $2.4 billion, and throughout the three supplementary estimates process we increased the budget of the department by about $369 million, to $2.8 billion. This is a trend that has been consistent with the history of this department, basically to a high of $800 million in fiscal year 2009-10 and, as I mentioned, $369 million last year. The estimates that are produced at a given time are like a snapshot or picture of the authority that we have in place.
Since then, as the minister said earlier, the department has received the authority to negotiate a bilateral agreement with the provinces. The funding for that was not approved in time to be included in the estimates, but it will be coming back to this committee in supplementary estimates at a later date, and this will be reflected in the future budget of the department.
Again, it's a picture in time and things move throughout the year. Last year, the Wheat Board, again, was not reflected in the main estimates. The department sought cabinet authority and Treasury Board authority, and the money was flowed back into the department in supplementary estimates (B).
This is a consistent process. It's like a wheel in motion and basically at the time of the production of the estimates, we take a picture of what the authorities are. We wish we could include everything we can up until today, but the system being what the system is...to make sure that these numbers are reflected and put in the department's budget for April 1.
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I appreciate that. So government will not come to a grinding halt between now and then, as Mr. Calkins has tried to suggest. As to Mr. Hoback's assertion about your playing politics, last time I checked, I was a politician. We put on our candidate slip that we're members of Parliament. It says occupation or job. It says politician, basically. So yes, we are politicians, and I'm not asking for May 31. I didn't make a big to-do about whether we do them today or don't do them today, but clearly, to pass literally hundreds of millions of dollars, notwithstanding the fact the other side is ready to go.... I would hope you're ready to go. It's your minister. If you're not ready to go, your minister's got a lot of problems, because, to be honest, the cheerleading pompoms come out every time he shows up.
So I'd say that you're always ready to go, and that's your role. That's okay. You're the government side. We're not; he's not my minister. So my role is to hold him to account and to try to get as much information as I can, because the other side constantly says we vote against stuff. It's difficult to say yes to stuff when we can't take the time to find out what we're saying yes to. So the easy default position is to vote no. That's simple, and my friends who were here, when they were in opposition, remember that process very well. In fact, the minister quite ably said that I rail, and he said he railed when he was in this position, and I congratulated him that we were both railing when we were in opposition because that's sometimes what you do in opposition.
But part of the idea is not to rail here but to try to find out. The fundamental tenet that we're supposed to uphold as parliamentarians is to hold the executive to account—that's including the opposition back bench—when it comes to spending. That is our prima facie case that we're supposed to do. That's why we came here, besides all the other things we said we'd do for our constituents.
The estimates process is unfortunate, and I say this as someone who sits on public accounts committee, where folks have come over and over again, including the Auditor General's group, and said that the estimates process isn't helpful, including your minister of the Treasury Board. So not only are we passing motions to pass something that isn't helpful, we don't even study it to see if we can find out if at least there's a little in there somewhere that might be helpful to understand what exactly it is that we ask people to pay for. No offence to the folks at the end; they're just working in the system.
There's a huge debate about whether the system they use to do estimates is of any value to us as parliamentarians to figure out what the heck is going on. But that's a different fight for a different day with the Auditor General and all the rest of the folks, as to how we're going to do accounting.
So, as I've said in the past, one thing Glaswegians like me know how to do is to count. I can look across the way and figure out how many are over there—there are six of them—and how many there are on this side—there are five.
I thank you, Chair, for allowing me to say my piece, but I want to keep it to the least amount of time possible because you're going to continue with the vote, and I recognize the way it's going to come out. But I would just simply ask my friends across the way, with the greatest of sincerity, that we ought to think about how we do this process because at some point, you might be on this side. I don't know when that point will be Somebody else may be in your shoes if you've decided to move on and do something else. I may have retired or done something else. The electorate may have decided something else for me, but someone else will be in our places.
We ought to give them a system that works for them so they can make good decisions, because we are spending someone else's money. Regardless of whether it's a lot or a little, regardless of whether I think we should spend more or the government side thinks they should spend less, it's not our money. We have to know how we're doing it. When we say yes to spending somebody else's money, we ought to be fully aware that we took the time to understand what that was, and not simply throw our hands in the air because we think that's what we should do.
So I'll end it there. I'm sorry that it sounds like a lecture, but I guess that's that happens when you have studied political science as a minor at university. You get caught up in that sometimes, but in all sincerity, we need to think about this process because this estimates process does not serve any of us well, and I say that after listening to the Auditor General and others who have come before the public accounts committee and told us that.
It doesn't serve us as well as parliamentarians. It serves the department well. I'm not debating that piece. I think it's okay for you folks down there. The problem is for us and how to serve us, and it's not doing a good job of serving us.
Ultimately, we are responsible for saying yes or no to the expenditure of all the money that you think you need. It's fair to say that we need to know whether or not that's the right decision to make. You believe it is, based on your work. I take great pleasure in saying that you're working extremely hard through the system that you have in front of you.
It's not an issue of the department trying to do something nefarious. That's absolutely not true at all—let me be abundantly clear about that. I thank you for your hard work inside that system that we've given to you, which is not serving all of us well.
Thanks, Chair.