[English]
I'll make my presentation in French and I will try to answer questions in either language.
I did not expect to have to introduce myself. I will try to be brief.
[Translation]
As you mentioned, I am a professor of political science at Laval University. I also hold the chair in democracy and parliamentary institutions research. That chair was established jointly by the National Assembly of Quebec and Laval University. However, I am not speaking here in any official capacity and I in no way speak for either of those two institutions.
I would like to thank you for inviting me to participate in your study of the Referendum Act. For me, the act is a bit of an old friend, since on June 15, 1992, I was invited to appear before the Standing Senate Committee on Legal and Constitutional Affairs to comment on what was at that time Bill C-81. I must tell you that that was my first appearance before a federal parliamentary committee. I wondered whether it would be my last appearance, not because things went badly, but simply because, given the situation in 1992, I wondered whether I would still be a citizen of the same country at the end of the year. You know what the situation was.
I decided to reread the text I had prepared for my appearance at that time. Reading what one wrote 17 years ago is something approached with a degree of apprehension. At the time, I told the senators that a referendum was described by everyone as a deadlock breaking mechanism. I told them that rather than breaking deadlocks, what a referendum might do was confirm them, and that provincial politicians were merely reflecting the intransigence of their respective populations. Let us say that I reread that today and I have the feeling I was not completely wrong.
I will now say a few words about the situation 17 years ago. At the time, no one knew what the government had in mind when it introduced that bill. I will spare you all the hypotheses that were circulating then, but several days ago I decided to reread Mr. Mulroney's memoirs, he having been in a good position to know about all this. I realized that he did not say a word on the subject. So I was no farther ahead. In any event, it seems that once the Charlottetown Accord was signed, the decision to organize a referendum was made by the premiers very quickly, with the results that you know. That is the only time the act has been used since it was enacted.
I have read the document prepared by your researcher, Mr. Bédard, and it gives me a good idea of the questions that concern you. Your mandate includes very technical questions about which I think you should rely on technicians rather than professors. Your mandate also involves broader issues about which professors may be able to provide you with some useful information. I am going to stick to those issues.
The question that seemed most interesting to me is: should a referendum and a general election be allowed to be held at the same time? Myself, I see no major problem in this option being open to Parliament if it so wishes. I know that the present act does not permit it. I know that in Quebec, the legislation also does not permit it. This might be difficult because Quebec's Referendum Act provides for stringent limits on spending and it would be difficult to enforce them at the same time as a provincial election. It would not always be easy to distinguish between a referendum expenditure and an election expenditure. There would be a high risk of confusion, and this would make the effectiveness of the limits problematic.
The federal act is not based on the strict principle of equal spending for the “yes” and the “no”. As a result, it would probably not prompt the same objections. There is no shortage of precedents in Canadian history for referendums held at the same time as an election, although there have been none at the federal level, or in fact in Quebec. I have a reasonably good body of documentation on the history of referendums in Canada. I had a chance to consult it before coming here.
I found at least seven provinces and one territory that have at one time or another held a referendum and a general election at the same time. I have the years and the subjects of the referendums, if you are interested. The most recent cases, the ones that are most interesting for you, occurred in British Columbia and Ontario. I understand that those two provinces' chief electoral officers have told you or will tell you how things went.
At the international level, you may be interested to learn that Australia has combined elections and referendums seven times in its history, and that two referendum questions were put on the same date in 1999—as I recall; I was there. New Zealand held a referendum at the same time as an election in 1993 and 1999. France has done it once, in 1945. In England and Germany, the practice is unknown because referendums there are very rare, in any case. So the problem does not arise very much.
I see an advantage to a simultaneous election and referendum in terms of election turnout. One of the most consistent observations in this regard is that turnout depends to a large extent on the nature of the vote, on its salience, as it is put in English. A municipal or school board election, for example, draws fewer people than a provincial election. If a major and minor election are held at the same time, the second one will draw a higher turnout than if it were held in isolation. The country with the record for turnout for local elections, municipal elections, is Sweden. And coincidentally, it is the only country where local elections are held at the same time as elections for parliament.
In Germany, like here, there is considerable concern about the marked decline in turnout for provincial elections. In recent years, a rather clever trick has been used. Some provinces have simply decided to hold their provincial elections on the same day as the federal election. I can tell you—and I will spare you the details—that the effects are quite miraculous: if we look at the figures, we see that when the provincial election is held at the same time as the federal election, the turnout is significantly higher; and conversely, when a province stops holding its provincial elections on the same day as the federal election, when the provincial election is held in isolation, that is, there is a marked drop in the turnout. So holding the votes simultaneously may be an advantage.
I would note that right here, referendums on electoral reform have clearly illustrated how what I am saying applies. In Prince Edward Island, as you may know, a referendum on the voting method was held in isolation and there was a 33% turnout, while in British Columbia and Ontario, the election and the referendum were combined and while the turnout was not spectacular, it was still considerably higher.
I am simply saying that if a referendum deals with a broad reform, the importance of the subject will of course be enough to draw voters; we saw that with Charlottetown. If, however, the referendum deals with a less important question, one that is less sexy in the voters' eyes, we might be afraid that voters will stay home, so that by doing this, I think, we would protect against that risk.
Concerning referendum committees, another question that is part of your committee's mandate, the present act does not impose an equal ceiling for spending by the “yes” and the “no”. It limits the spending of each referendum committee, but not the number of committees. To many people, that provision allows the wealthy to buy the outcome of the referendum.
When I appeared before your fellow senators in 1992, I suggested that this vision, that the government could buy the outcome of the referendum simply by spending more than its adversaries, was somewhat simplistic.
I do not think I was wrong, in that in 1992, as you know, supporters of the Charlottetown Accord outside Quebec spent not twice as much as their adversaries, not 5 times or 10 times as much, but 13 times as much. Nonetheless, as you know, they lost the referendum. If memory serves, they lost by a substantial margin.
I don't think that Mr. Trudeau's speech at La Maison Egg Roll ended up in the expense accounts for the “no”, nor did the tape recordings of Ms. Wilhelmy's and Mr. Tremblay's late-night frustration. If that cost the “no” committee a cent, it was certainly the most profitable cent in all the history of elections in Canada. It did not appear in any expense. And yet any expert will tell you: that is what made the most difference in the referendum. In fact, it had more impact than all of the expensive advertising with which voters were inundated at the time.
It might have been amusing for some to see the “no” protagonists at the time, Mr. Trudeau, Mr. Preston Manning and Mr. Jacques Parizeau, having to work together on the same committee. It would certainly have been interesting to observe, but I don't think they would have found the experience very enjoyable.
Now let's consider the discrepancies between the Elections Act and the Referendum Act. If I understand correctly, in 2000, when a new Elections Act was enacted, amendments were also made for consistency with the Referendum Act. As I understand it, that exercise has not been repeated since then, and so there are discrepancies between the Elections Act and the Referendum Act. In particular, it seems that inmates have the right to vote in elections, but not in a referendum. Personally, I think that discrepancy is undesirable in principle. Referendum law should, as much as possible, be in line with elections law.
In fact, I apply the same reasoning to contributions. I do not see why companies and unions could contribute to referendum funds but not to election funds. In a way, there has to be consistency with the principles we proclaim. Choose the rule you like best, but I think, as much as possible, it should be the same for elections and referendums. However, I would like to state a caveat that seems appropriate to me. If you opt to model the Referendum Act on the Election Act, and thus prohibit contributions by companies and unions, the government will probably have to make up the difference that will remain as a result of prohibiting contributions from corporations. Obviously, taxpayers will be the ones who have to pay the difference, because the government will very probably have to give the various committees a subsidy to compensate.
The final point in my comments is the interaction between provincial and federal referendums. The Referendum Act is asymmetrical legislation, in that it can apply in one province, in several provinces or in the entire country. Special circumstances meant that in 1992, there were, legally speaking, two referendums. There was one in Quebec and one in the entire country less Quebec. I am not sure that was the best choice, even though political reality at the time made it necessary. I would simply like to point out that whatever good arguments can be made for doing it, there are in fact people who lost their right to vote because the Quebec act required six months' residence, which the federal act did not.
Personally, in 1992, I moved to Quebec. Very fortunately for me, I moved in January 1992. The referendum was held in October. If I had had the misfortune of having to move in July 1992, I would not have been in good standing under the act and I would not have been able to exercise my right to vote, because I would not have lived in Quebec for six months.
Obviously, I am not going to tell you that the referendum would have lost much if my voice had not been heard. What I want to say is that in terms of principles, it seems to me that a solution that means that people lose their right to vote is not the best solution.
I would add that this business of applying one act rather than another ended up in a fight between our two governments over money that went on for two years: whether Mr. Mulroney, two years earlier, had promised to reimburse Mr. Bourassa for the referendum. They were hunting everywhere at Privy Council to find a piece of paper. Apparently there wasn't one. I can tell you that people in very high places in the election bureaucracy did not even know there had been an agreement on this. It eventually ended as you know. In my opinion, that was not the best scenario.
On the question of that interaction, you can keep the flexibility in the existing act, if it appeals to you. But in terms of principles, I think this is pushing opting-out a little too far. In fact, to my knowledge, we are the only federation in the world that does things this way. Ordinarily, in a federation, when a “national” referendum is held, it is held throughout the country. In any event, I teach a course on comparative federalism, so I have to know a little about these things.
I will talk a little about another small detail, one that is more technical but that is still of some interest. In fact, I referred to it earlier. When Parliament votes on the motion that contains the referendum question, it does not know—in any event, there is no obligation to tell it—what province the referendum will be held in. It is the executive that decides, after the vote on the referendum question is held, which province the referendum will be held in.
Personally, I think the motion to adopt the referendum question should, at that point, specify the province where the referendum will be held, because in my humble opinion that kind of decision should not be left to the executive and be announced after the House of Commons and the Senate have passed the referendum question.
Ladies and gentlemen, those are my written comments. I am now prepared to answer your questions as best I can.
:
Okay. I have to be consistent with what I said earlier. I said that when the act was discussed, this was the hottest issue. We've read the debates of that time, and this was one of the main issues debated. Of course, the Quebec model was put forward in those days as a possibility. It was rejected at that time for various reasons, many of which were legal. Apparently the government had a preponderance of legal opinion on the issue that suggested that this would not stand well with the courts.
I think there were deeper reasons for that. I mean, I have the impression that they feared that following this model would probably be impossible at another level. My instinctive preference—you know, I come from Quebec, so I'm proud of what we have done—is for the Quebec model, but you have to be careful before transferring to an arena something that is quite appropriate in another arena. Quebec is a smaller society. It's more homogenous. It's probably easier to force everybody to be on one side or the other, and we have been able to do it successfully so far.
By the way, our system survived the test of the courts in the Libman case, subject to a few amendments that were not basic in nature. Whether the same system would work on the wider Canadian scene, I'm less convinced. When we were discussing the issue in the abstract in 1992, we did not know what kind of referendum would follow. If I had known through some divine revelation that we would end up with the kind of alignment we had, and the strange scenario you've mentioned, I would probably have been very reluctant to advocate the Quebec model in these circumstances.
A further reason I was not so insistent on taking the Quebec model was that I was not convinced 100% that spending more than your opponents really made the difference. There was an assumption at that time—I think it has been shattered beyond repair—based on the 1982 referendum in Quebec, that you could literally buy the outcome of the referendum. I was not convinced at that time, based on the literature. And with the kind of campaign we had in 1992, I'm even less convinced that money can buy the outcome of a referendum.
We have a bizarre system, by the way. We have almost a free-for-all when it comes to referendum committees. On the other hand, when it comes to distributed time--you know, free air time on TV--it's the rule of equality that prevails. “Yes” has 50% and “no” has 50%. They have to agree among themselves to share that among the various committees. On the whole, we have a free-for-all. It's probably the system that is the least problematic given our circumstances, the complexity of the country, and the fact that one issue may be seen very differently in one province compared to the others.
You know, most of the campaign was along these lines. You went to Quebec, and you would tell people in Quebec, look, it's marvellous; we have 25% of the seats in the House of Commons in perpetuity, which is extraordinary, and the Senate that is proposed is toothless and probably will remain very weak. Now, the same people, if they had to go outside Quebec, had to say, well, 25% for Quebec is not that important, and we have an equality of seats for the provinces in the Senate, and that's great.
Probably it's best to leave some flexibility in the system.