:
Thank you very much, Mr. Chair.
I would like to apologize, but I do not speak French very well.
[English]
Each time I went on a course, I was sent on another UN operation, and got away from Ottawa, which wasn't a bad thing.
As this is your last day before returning to your ridings, I actually thank you for being here. It wasn't like that when I went to school. During my time in uniform, I was sent here with government talking points, so it's nice to be able to express my personal opinion this morning without fearing a call from the CDS or the minister tomorrow morning.
Let me start by saying I think you have the cart before the horse. That is to say, what's the foreign policy that will dictate the employment of our military post-Afghanistan? Unfortunately, it's my observation that this is not unique to this committee. It's the usual way the defence policy is made in this country. If you research the subject, you will see that defence policy reviews have historically been done before foreign policy reviews, which is quite bizarre.
Presumably, the questions I was given about peace operations suggest those will be a priority for the Canadian Forces following Afghanistan. If the polls and the letters to the editors and the talk shows are to be believed, that would be in tune with the majority of public opinion. Mind you, that opinion ignores the fact that our self-proclaimed reputation as a peacekeeping nation is one of the great Canadian myths. To qualify as such, surely peacekeeping must have been a top foreign policy priority, and it never was. It was parked well behind sovereignty, defence of North America, and coalition or alliance obligations, with NATO being the alliance that demanded the most personnel and cash. During the Cold War, we had only modest numbers of troops deployed on peacekeeping operations, compared to our large, permanently stationed land and air forces on the central front in Europe. It seemed to me that successive governments endorsed a peacekeeping myth because it was cheap, and they could cut defence budgets while still maintaining some international profile.
We had massive deployments to peace operations only during the early 1990s, after the Berlin Wall came down in 1989. We had large missions in Bosnia, Croatia, Cyprus, the Golan, Cambodia, and Somalia. Three of them--Bosnia, Croatia, and Somalia, as well as a small mission in Rwanda--represented the end of peacekeeping missions as we knew them, all 13 of them from 1956 to 1990.
The difference, not noticed by the majority of the public, is that post-Cold War peacekeeping missions involve peace broken by factions, not countries. Factions don't have flags flying in front of the UN building in downtown Manhattan. They don't have delegations there. They don't give a damn for the UN, because the UN peacekeeping force operating under UN rules of engagement can't hurt them.
I say this as someone who others have described as the most experienced peacekeeper in the world, not because of the nine missions I served with, but because I served on UN duty in every rank from lieutenant to major-general, except for full colonel, and commanded a UN mission, not just the military component, in Central America, and established and commanded a subordinate mission in Sarajevo, where I reported directly to the United Nations, at least when they would answer the phone.
That brings up the capacity or lack thereof of the UN to direct and resource UN operations in which the use of deadly force is authorized. Eighteen years ago some of us said the UN was incapable of directing post-Cold War missions. While we were chastised--or in my case reprimanded--for saying so, we were heartened to hear the Under-Secretary-General for UN Peacekeeping say exactly the same thing just a few years ago.
Subcontracting to a nation to run a mission on behalf of the UN can work, as it did with the U.S. in the lead in Somalia and under Australian leadership in East Timor.
I saw the grimaces and winces when I mentioned Somalia as a success story for the U.S. The U.S.-led assault in December 1992 was the most successful intervention in the history of the United Nations. The force, including Canadians, went to a knife fight with a gun and established security conditions that permitted the safe delivery of humanitarian aid. It was only when the UN took over six months later--and I was there observing the handover for CTV--that the leadership of the mission self-destructed, and the entire mission left with its tail between its legs. By the way, and for the record, the U.S. commander of that intervention force, General Johnston, was standing by to appear before the Somalia inquiry to state that the Canadian Airborne Regiment was the best unit he had in his 36,000-man force. Too bad it was shut down before he had a chance to appear.
Assuming that our future foreign policy will continue to offer up Canadian military contributions to coalition alliance operations, some with UN blessings, some without, we have to maintain a flexible, combat-capable military. We must never again subordinate our military to ridiculous UN rules of engagement dreamed up in downtown Manhattan.
No matter how benign the mission, we should be prepared for the worst-case scenario, not the best case, which always dictates UN thinking as it is the least expensive. Let me give you a few examples.
While commanding a mission in Sarajevo, it was important for me to defend the airport from heavy tanks that were within about 400 or 500 metres. I asked permission from the United Nations to bring the TOW Under Armour, tube-launched, optically controlled, wire-guided missile systems that we had introduced and placed on top of armoured personnel carriers from our Canadians who were serving in Croatia. The UN came back and told me I could bring the missile launchers down but not the missiles. I obviously ignored the order, disobeyed the order, and brought them anyway.
I asked for mortars. They said I could bring the mortars down from the Canadian contingent, but not high-explosive ammunition, only illumination, so, presumably, I could see the people who were attacking us at night. And I ignored that order.
The Danes, when they came in and said they were bringing Leopard tanks, the UN said no. The Dutch brought them anyway and fired a few rounds at people who were shooting at them and they never got shot at again in their six-month tour. And in the case of the Dutch going into Srebrenica with nothing but small arms, we all know what happened there.
I conclude with something I have championed for the past 50 years unsuccessfully. Of all the countries in the world that should maintain an amphibious expeditionary capability, it's Canada. We keep bragging about our three oceans.
A thousand soldiers on board a purpose-built ship, one on each coast, capable of deploying on short notice, unlike today... Such ships cost less than a destroyer or a frigate and require smaller crews. Don't be fooled; the joint support ship project currently in suspension does not address this requirement. There is no space on board the JSS for combat troops and their equipment.
Such a capability would be invaluable not just for intervention operations but—equally important—for humanitarian missions, like those experienced recently following natural disasters in Haiti and the Indian Ocean, not to forget the one we're standing by for on the west coast of our own country.
The U.S., U.K., Spain, Italy, Holland, Australia, France, and Russia can't all be wrong as they currently expand their amphibious forces. Unfortunately, we don't have that capability, period.
I would be happy to discuss this during the Q and A, and I encourage you to consider this valuable addition to our military capabilities during your deliberations.
Thank you very much.
:
Thank you very much, Mr. Chair. And General MacKenzie, it's nice to see you again.
I certainly concur with your first statement that we should do foreign policy before we do defence. Obviously we have to know what our vital interests are in order to then have the appropriate capabilities to move forward.
You talked about peacekeeping and myth, and as you know, myths are often far more powerful than reality. This committee is obviously seized with, and we've actually tailored our whole study on, the premise that Canadian soldiers will be involved in international peace operations after 2011. Maybe we are prisoners of that myth, because we continue to think we're going to, in some kind of form, do peacekeeping.
I guess the question I have for you first of all is this. If you look at Afghanistan, some would argue it's a conflict that is characteristic of conflicts to come. In other words, it's both peace enforcement and an issue of trying to develop a peace. Afghanistan may be, then, the test, and the Canadian public doesn't understand, as it did not understand in Somalia, that there's traditional peacekeeping and then there's peacemaking.
Could you comment on that and where you see us going? Then I want to talk to you about a naval-centric armed forces.
:
It's the terminology that gets so abused. People have turned themselves inside out to try to describe what isn't chapter 6 peacekeeping operations--chapter 6 being characterized by three descriptions or criteria. One is that you're invited in by all sides to the conflict. Two, you're lightly armed for self-defence only. Three, you're impartial. Well, that sure as hell doesn't apply in Afghanistan.
In chapter 7 operations, the difference is that you can use deadly force to bring the situation under control. That is being applied, for example, in the Congo. The Americans will refuse, quite rightly in my estimation, to ever participate in a mission that's not chapter 7.
Afghanistan is counter-insurgency. It's war fighting. People who put a label of peace operations on it are misguided and they're confusing the glossary of terms that cover that particular operation. There is no peace. The defeat of an insurgency is when it no longer has an impact on your day-to-day life. It's like the situation in Spain or in Colombia, or wherever it's at least under control enough that it's no longer relevant to day-to-day operations.
I really recommend cleaning up the terminology. If somebody wants to call Afghanistan peace ops, I would strongly debate the wisdom of using that term.
I agree with you, though, sir, that's what we will probably be doing after Afghanistan, and we will be doing it in coalitions of the willing, whatever the title happens to be. That's what we have to be prepared for. Where we differ from the UN is that we don't go into these things prepared for the best-case scenario, because it never works out that way.
:
You key onto a very important handicap.
I wrote the rules of engagement for the United Nations when I was in Central America commanding the mission there. It was so boring that I didn't have much else to do. The war was virtually over, and the Contras had been demobilized.
I recommended that the mission be shut down. That was not accepted because there was a large civilian component turning it into their career choice. Subsequently, when it was shut down, it just moved to El Salvador. It's UNOSAL.
It was easy to write them for chapter 6--you know, 30 rounds of ammunition, don't carry your weapon loaded, be neutral, be impartial. Very rarely were you getting shot at. It was normally some out-of-control young soldier who wanted to take on a UN observer or soldier.
Now it's much more complicated, and now countries refuse to let the central agency in New York establish the rules of engagement. Each nation's lawyers, military, and foreign policy people get together and write the rules of engagement, and quite frankly, rarely can they keep up, because the situation changes in the field dramatically. That's when commanders have to earn their pay and adjust them as required. Yes, it's a key issue.
Nobody, but nobody, issued rules of engagement in World War II. You were supposed to kill as many as you could, get them out of the way, and recapture the territory. Today it would be politically incorrect to establish or to issue a rule of engagement like that.
For soldiers it's very frustrating, and ever more shall be so, I imagine, because I don't think any nation will subordinate itself to UN rules of engagement or NATO rules of engagement again.
:
I'm saying they're not in a position to greatly influence the situation in most of the missions.
Let's use the Congo as an example. There are seven foreign armies and 11 factions currently fighting in the Congo. If we were to put a battle group in there of 1,200 or 1,400, they would be a mere drop in the bucket. It would take them days and days to go 10 or 15 kilometres during most of their movement requirements because of the lack of infrastructure.
The vast majority, to be terribly unkind but accurate... I've had soldiers from Nigeria, Pakistan, and Bangladesh under my command. The soldiers are excellent. Their countries have them there for $150 per month, per soldier, paid into their national coffers. They're a source of income for those countries. As a result their soldiers are grossly underpaid—and I've had experience with that with these soldiers. They turn to the black market, the female slave trade, prostitution, etc., all publicly announced and described in the open media. They are a commander's nightmare. At present in the Congo, with that very large force, they maybe have part of the capital under control. So that's the type of success story the UN describes.
You may go into an area where the factions want somebody to help them re-establish peace. A perfect example, and probably the best recent one, is Eritrea and Ethiopia. That was conventional chapter 6 peacekeeping. “We're tired of fighting. Please come in, interpose yourself between our two forces along a common border, and give us a chance to get some breathing space.”
So yes, we can participate in those missions. The question is, what will our influence be? Not only that, they won't request combat soldiers; they'll request logistics, communications, legal, etc. When we send those folks overseas, we can't train them back here, because you need your service battalions.
:
I personally don't see that, because the UN is the sum of its parts. I know that because it has been said over and over. The fact is that there are five permanent members on the Security Council that dictate the employment of resources within the United Nations. Those five members in 1945 were parked in that Security Council to make sure they didn't fight each other, not to make really brilliant, unanimous decisions. As you know, it has to be unanimous, even though recommendations have been made to have two vetos rather than one among the permanent five. That's the controlling agency. The funds then come from the General Assembly. The UN bureaucracy is always faced with the dilemma of receiving direction that it can then not resource.
The safe havens in Bosnia are a perfect example. When I was asked by the United States congressional committee, where I was appearing as a witness, “General MacKenzie, how many troops to defend the safe havens in Bosnia?” I said “125,000.” “Why so many?” “Well, like a stone in a quiet lake, the ripple effect represents artillery fire. You go out 30Ks, they'll move back 30Ks. You have to go out 30K more to shut down the artillery. You're pacifying the whole country.”
General Briquemont, who was one of my followers in Sarajevo, said “I agree with General MacKenzie; I'll try it with 70,000.” Boutros Boutros-Ghali, the Secretary-General, went in front of the Security Council and pleaded for 27,500. The Security Council approved 12,500, and six months later, 2,000 arrived. So they went back and rewrote the mandate to say that the UN would not defend the safe havens but that the UN, by their presence, would deter attacks on the safe havens, and the result was Srebrenica.
Who is responsible for Srebrenica? Way more than 50%, it was the UN. That hasn't changed. The UN administration is handcuffed by the lack of resources from donating nations, Canada included, and the neanderthal-like decision process among the permanent five members. It used to be that the permanent five members were precluded from conducting operations within the UN mandate. Only the Brits were the exception, with two sovereign bases in Cypress: Akrotiri and Dhekelia. But now they're getting involved in the operations, so they have even more concern and influence within the decision-making process and the Security Council as to where missions go.
:
The C-17s are unbelievably valuable. We need more of them. But you don't move a combat unit with heavy equipment by air. You move it by sea. You keep it together. You move your advance parties. You move a company of infantry. Trust me, it's immensely better than it was before. We can move things like the DART, etc.
One thing I didn't get into in my opening comments was that one of the lessons we've learned is that our units are way, way too small. Even if you reduce the number of units, build them up in size. We send over what we call battle groups. They're actually battalion groups. We send the battle groups to Afghanistan. It takes a year to get them ready, because no unit is big enough to go by itself. They need a company with 200 from another battalion. They need a large number of reservists--God bless them; we couldn't do it without them. They need all kinds of things to create a unit, and then it has to be organized.
You don't have a unit at that stage. You have to have a bunch of people with leadership. They have to get to know each other. They have to trust each other. They have to learn lessons from Afghanistan. That takes a year. Then you send them over in the field for six months. Then you bring them home, and a number of them will be recycled and will go back over fairly soon.
Units aren't big enough. You have 1,100 soldiers trained to live on a ship and prepared to deploy from each coast. It slows down the decision-making process in that building over there. Why? Because right now, when the Government of Canada decides to send troops somewhere, the CDS says, “Well, we have to charter a ship, and the cheapest one available is in the Indian Ocean, so it will be here in about three months. So I'll get our force there in about four months.”
After 9/11, when did we arrive? It was in March of the following year. We don't have strategic capability. We have C-17s that are absolutely essential for rapid deployment of the advanced group. To move a unit, it should be on a ship. Not only that, when the C-17 lands, it needs permission. It has to get clearance on foreign soil. When a ship arrives in international waters, it parks off the west coast of Africa or wherever. It can sit there until Parliament makes its decision that it's supposed to go in. Then they can say, “We'll be there in three hours”--not in four months.
:
It's a question that I'm sure a lot of people in this capital are wrestling with.
My first point is that it starts from the top. There is a requirement at the very top of the national leadership to explain to the public. I hate the term “grassroots”, but I'm delighted with that grassroots movement along the Highway of Heroes. And it didn't mean much to us until other countries started doing documentaries on it and telling us how well we were doing it, and now the U.S. is copying, and the U.K. in some ways. Those were publicly generated responses, which are just great. It ignores the mission and focuses on the troops, which is great.
But as to how we do it, as a guy who spends some time with the media, I think if it leads, it leads. My greatest concern in Afghanistan is that when a soldier is killed, he dies in a field, he dies again at the ramp ceremony, he dies again at Trenton, he dies on the Highway of Heroes, and he dies when he's interred, and the only time we're permitted to see the leadership of the Canadian Forces is at those Stations of the Cross. Therefore, the public associates our leadership with death, and I think that's unfortunate.
I haven't answered your question, but I really think what's needed is a little more openness. You and I both know the best ambassadors for the media from the military are corporals and sergeants and young lieutenants and captains, and you don't hear from them a lot.
:
They're doing it very well. I'm really pleased with what I see in terms of the lessons learned when I visit. In my day, when we went to Cyprus, where I did three tours and had extended leave on most of them, you didn't even ask the previous unit for any advice. If you did ask for advice, you normally got it from a document that was written four years earlier by earlier rotations. That's how backward it was. Now they're turning around within hours.
On the lessons learned in Afghanistan, the folks in Kingston turn that thing around and it goes back as direction or advice, or whatever, almost immediately. They've done it extremely, extremely well.
As far as lessons learned on a more macro basis, I think the one I would emphasize is the size of the units. Nobody's ever going to ask for a 500-man battalion to go overseas and participate in one of these operations. There's always going to be somewhat of a balanced battle group, as they call it now, of around 1,000 or 1,100. When I was commissioned, battalions were 1,100 strong, and we have kept reducing and reducing them in size.
It's a tiny army. I'm just speaking of the army now, which is said to be just over 20,000, but it's not 20,000 deployable soldiers. I know people are tired of hearing me say this, but I repeat it over and over: if you march the army into Maple Leaf Gardens and order it to sit down, there will be empty seats. I'm an honourary chief of the Toronto Police Service, and we have 2,000 more cops in Toronto than we have infanteers in the Canadian army. The numbers are tiny—and they do magnificent work.
:
It's a mug's game predicting the future, I must admit, but certainly, first of all, I think we should be looking west, significantly, into the Pacific area and Southeast Asia, etc. That's going to be of valuable economic benefit to us. We want to maintain a working relationship with the United States, and it's amazing how our very small contribution, in overall terms, to the American military makes a phenomenal amount of impact.
I lectured for 13 years, thanks to an invitation from Colin Powell to the joint flag officer war fighting course in Montgomery, Alabama, for their two and three star generals. When I mentioned the size of our force, there was a pregnant pause from the generals waiting for the punch line. They thought it was a joke. They said, “You are everywhere.” I said, “Yes, but in fairly small numbers.” They said, “Nevertheless, you're everywhere.” They were complaining about the shortage of resources at 800,000.
When the government decides that we are going to participate in coalition operations, whether it's UN, NATO, or coalitions of the willing, which I like, because that means they're put together when there's a crisis, and they're all committed to resolving the crisis, we need the ability to respond with flexible forces. And that means navy, air force, army units that are large enough that they don't have to be put together as some sort of heterogeneous thing for a while before they become a fighting unit. If we have that, and we're close to having that right now, if we don't let it wither on the vine--we have a habit of letting our military wither on the vine after an operational commitment--we would continue to make a significant contribution.
As for the Middle East, I won't go there. It's just so, so potentially volatile that we stand by waiting for coalitions of the willing and deciding whether we're going to play or not.
:
The potential is there that in following the wash-up in NATO, two things will happen. Either NATO will survive and have to change...
One of the Canadian recommendations is the simple introduction and implementation of a Canadian recommendation that unanimity can exist in Brussels at the very highest political level, unanimity deciding where we're going to go, what we're going to do. Then once you drop down below Brussels and you get into the field, the people who are carrying the majority of the weight make the decisions. It's just that simple change that would overhaul NATO's chain of command dramatically and make it much more efficient. It's simple to say but difficult to implement.
You can't have in Kandahar province a debate going on as to whether everybody there agrees with what the commander wants to do.
So that's one of the options: that NATO will actually pay attention to a lot of national input like ours, and in particular to the Madeleine Albright study that's taking a look at the restructuring of NATO, and will reform itself and hopefully stop expanding.
After the debacle in Georgia, can you imagine anybody trusting that NATO's going to come to their rescue, including Canada? They couldn't even get there. While they were fighting a relatively minor insurgency in Afghanistan, we were facing the Soviets coming into a country that could have been a NATO country and we were all going to go to attack Russia because of that? I mean, give me a break.
Or it fails. It disintegrates as a result of the European Union coming closer together and coming up with some force. But boy, do they have their problems, too. Germany, France, and the U.K. don't necessarily agree on how that should work. If that fails, then you'll recognize these names: the idea of a standing coalition of the willing—the U.S., Canada, Australia, New Zealand—and funnily enough, a number of the new free satellite countries from the old Soviet Union that have really been pulling their weight in Afghanistan. So I can see something like that happening.
:
The ironic thing about the UN is that everything that's been added on since 1945--the UNHCR, UNICEF, WHO, the World Health Organization...although you will recall Mayor Lastman in Toronto didn't know WHO. Who are those WHO people about the SARS crisis?
Anyway, all that to say they are brilliant. Sure, the human rights folks have some problems when Libya is the chair and such things, but overall those add-ons... God knows I've worked with UNICEF and UNHCR a lot; they're great and they do a lot of good work. It's the raison d'être for the UN, which was to save us from the scourge of a third world war, and they did, I guess. We didn't have one, thank God.
During the Cold War their capability to cope with situations in Cyprus and the Middle East, which were relatively benign, was perfectly okay. It's the post-Cold War period where we have factions around the world, internal factions, fighting away at each other.
Michael Ignatieff probably explains it better than anybody in his book Blood and Belonging. Once we removed the glue that held the two groups together--the Soviet Union and NATO, led by the U.S.--once that disappeared with the disappearance of the Soviet Union, all these ethnic, religious, territorial, and historic tensions just exploded. In Yugoslavia it was worse than anywhere else because it was both ethnicity and religion.
So the UN serves a very useful purpose. It's got serious problems when it comes to the security responsibilities it has, and that's because it's hamstrung by the permanent five. You probably know the ambassadors from Japan, India, and Brazil, three folks who I think have strong qualifications for permanent membership, went around the world for a year seeking support for them to become permanent members. The report, which was issued about a year and a half ago, said they found the challenge to be problematic but they promised to revisit the issue in 15 years. I've never heard of anything like that in my life--in 15 years.
Those permanent five have it locked up solid, because not only do they have the veto for security issues, it's a little-known fact that they have the veto for procedure within the Security Council, which means the membership. It just takes one of them to veto a new member, and they do every time.
:
I had to be a realist. When I took an early retirement a couple of years earlier, in 1993, we were around 85,000. We then had the famous decade of darkness in which we started buying people out.
In my perfect world, we'd probably be somewhere around 100,000--but I'll live with 85,000--and then the army would go to units that would be large enough to deploy with very modest augmentation. Our navy has a reputation way beyond its resources, because it's able to command and control foreign ships. And foreign militaries, including the U.S., trust it. So we have experienced commanders there. Our air force has a reputation for outstanding skills, and now we're in the position of having to cut back on flying hours and we are grounding aircraft, etc.
I guess, probably, my timing must have been brilliant, because I would say go back to the way things were when I left and what we were doing then with the numbers we had. We had a large component of air force and army in Europe, and those numbers were supposed to come back to us, and somewhere halfway over the Atlantic they vaporized, and all of a sudden--boom--we lost those positions, and the downgrading of the numbers in the military started.
I also know that all of you would want to have something in your backyard that the military needs, but the fact is it takes so long--like 10 years--in Canada to get from the blueprint to either driving it or flying or sailing it, and what the military needs is something off the shelf. Somehow we get compensation here in Canada for that, but we have to buy stuff off the shelf, which we showed we could do in Afghanistan with artillery pieces and vehicles, etc. We saw the need, and, bang, it was filled. If we had to turn to Canada to replace those, they'd be arriving 10 years from now.
So Public Works and DND have a real challenge. And I know there have been tons of studies, but if I could speed up the procurement issue with a magic wand, that would be one of my top priorities.