Good afternoon, Chair and members of the committee. Thank you for inviting me and my colleagues to share my thoughts on the economic stimulus package and the impacts on our organization and the construction industry as a whole.
I've noticed that there are not many other witnesses with me today. I've got these two, but it's going to be hard to hide at the back of the class today.
I have tried to put together a balanced view of what's going on in our industry for the committee. I did my best to bring you some relevant facts and figures that should assist the committee. I want to preface my comments today with a statement of support for the stimulus package and the value of the commitments to spend the government made to our industry.
The organization I represent is called the Canadian Building Trades. We represent about 550,000 organized construction workers from coast to coast to coast. Our members work in 15 different crafts across the country in over 50 specific trades, ranging from heavy equipment operators, to carpenters, to welders, to bricklayers, and everything in between. We build infrastructure, heavy industrial plants like oil refineries, nuclear plants, schools, hospitals, and homes.
In preparation for my remarks today, I found some important formal information and also first-hand research from our member organizations.
According to the labour force survey produced by Stats Can November 6, 2009, employment in our industry edged up slightly from record lows in October; however, it is still down 5.8% year over year. This equates to about 73,000 fewer jobs in our industry than this time last year. All of the regions in our country have been hit substantially, but particularly hard hit have been the regional economies of Alberta, Ontario, and British Columbia. Our trades have not been spared from the job losses and slowdowns. This is why the economic stimulus package is so essential. This package provides assurance to the private sector that it is okay to invest, it is okay to proceed with private construction projects in this uncertain time. If the various levels of governments are spending, theoretically it's okay for other projects to proceed.
Historically our industry is generally a late responder to economic events. We're usually the last into and the last out of recessions, but this time seems to be different for a good portion of our trades. I surveyed a number of our trades across the country to give this committee a first-hand account of business volumes for our civil trades. They are usually the first trades on the job site and would be the first to benefit from increased volumes of work.
As a short background, we measure business volumes in hours of work. So here is a bit of an overview of how some of the trades are doing. The information is real time in nature and will hopefully provide you with general trends when examining the stimulus package in greater detail. If the committee would like any of these numbers tabled officially in a more user-friendly manner, please let me know afterwards and I can arrange for that.
The International Union of Operating Engineers is the trade involved in clearing sites with heavy equipment. They operate the cranes you see in downtowns across the country and they do all the sewer and plant waterworks across Canada. As of October 2009, the operators are experiencing 13% unemployment among their 30,000 membership in construction. This is more than twice the unemployment rate in 2007 and 2008. Those who are working in 2009 are working fewer hours.
The carpenters--I have a fellow carpenter on the committee today--are one of the first responders in construction. They're on the work site first. They build the forms into which concrete is poured and in which the reinforcing steel placed by the iron workers is held in place. The carpenters build all the scaffolding that support all the other trades along the construction continuum. The business performance of the carpenters therefore is a good leading indicator or proxy as to how the other trades will perform in the future. Nationally, the carpenters are forecasting work volumes to increase slightly in 2009, hold steady in 2010-2011, and then fall off a cliff in 2012. There is little private construction work in the pipeline for them. What they are counting on for 2010-2011 is the stimulus money.
The carpenters' office in Toronto, for example, provided some numbers for the committee for trending purposes. They are as follows. In 2007, 15 million work-hours. This equates to full-time employment for about 7,500 members. In 2008, 16 million work-hours. This equates to full-time employment for about 8,000 members. In 2009, year to date, 9.3 million work-hours. This equates to full-time employment for 4,500 members.
The labourers in Laborers' International are first responders in our industry. They do much of the road work you see on your way home at night. They do most of the concrete finishing work for sidewalks and curbs, and they do much of the work for municipalities on sewers, water mains, and general labour on all construction sites.
At year end, LIUNA in Ontario is forecasting an approximate 35% reduction in work-hour totals. In 2007, LIUNA Ontario enjoyed 32 million work-hours and in 2008 about the same. Year to date, 2009, they're reporting approximately 19 million. With the end of the construction season closing in on us, there's a long way to go to get back to normal levels.
Now, if I may, I'd like to share with you some of the numbers I've found in two of the industrial trades. Those trades are involved mainly in the delivery of services in the institutional, commercial, and industrial applications. The IBEW, or the electrical workers, is headquartered in Toronto and represents electricians in Ontario. They're involved in high-rise electrical work, industrial electrical, power line, and some residential electrical work.
The electrical workers are experiencing a year over year decline in work-hours. From the numbers they provided to me for this committee, it appears there's a 19% decline in volume. Specifically, in 2008 this office witnessed about 14 million work-hours and are on pace to finish 2009 with approximately 11 million.
The final example I'd like to share with you from our trades is the experience from the UA, or the plumbers and pipefitters. The UA is involved in plumbing, pipefitting, steamfitting, and welding in commercial and heavy industrial applications. A small portion of their work is in the residential sector, namely in the GTA. The UA office in Toronto is on track to deliver approximately 28% fewer work-hours for 2009. Last year their members worked approximately eight million work-hours and this year they will do about six million.
So what does this all mean? It's a lot of numbers, and the compilation is important. From this raw data evidence, the importance of the stimulus spending trumps a number of other industry priorities in the short term. The construction season for the outdoor skilled trades is coming to an end shortly, so essentially the spring of 2010 will be the make-or-break period for them. If there are stimulus projects to replace private industry projects, there will be a softer landing for Canadian construction. If there are no stimulus projects to work on, it will be a different story and we will witness further significant declines in employment.
The Construction Sector Council, which is part of the sector council program with HRSDC, did some recent forecasts where they assumed 30% of the infrastructure money has actually flowed and hit the street. This has led to the creation of approximately 34,000 jobs. This also assumes that approximately $4 billion has been spent by consumers on items eligible for the home renovation tax credit, and the 2010 contribution has been made for the not-for-profit housing sector by the government.
So if we assume all these things, the Construction Sector Council says, 34,000 jobs have been created. As we learn from StatsCan in a labour force survey, we've lost 73,000. So even if this 30% of the money has hit the street, we're still in the hole about 39,000 trade jobs due to the recession. Without the stimulus package, who knows where the job numbers would be. The hours for my trade as I reported to you would certainly be lower and the work picture more dire.
I spoke with a number of my employer partners, and they indicated to me their design and engineering departments are starting to build momentum. However, they are not at or near capacity. The lag time to translate these engineering volumes into actual shovels in the ground is at least six to ten months for non-complex projects. When contractors bid on a job, they have to be able to prove capacity to do the work, and the scope of what else is in the pipeline matters.
Recent information and analysis released by reconstruction data proposes our industry will be passing through what economists frequently call a U-recovery. The scenario depicts gradual and slow pickup, not the V-shape, rapid, robust, and solid recovery we all want. New construction starts in residential are forecast to be down, new starts in commercial are about 50% of where we were, and industrial projects are waiting to see where the Canadian and U.S. dollars are going to land.
I want to quickly provide you with some ancillary information from the United States. Recovery.gov is an excellent resource for the construction industry and citizens alike. This website was initiated by the Obama administration to show transparency and progress in reporting to the general public. All stimulus projects are coded, labelled, and tracked for all to see. For example, if someone wants to get information on stimulus money in Cincinnati or Phoenix, you're able to see what contracts are stimulus contracts, who's the responsible state authority, who bid on the job, who won the job, who the subcontractors are who are working on the jobs, where the job sites are, and so on. Most importantly, this site outlines the amount of direct employment created by the project.
This is a tangible deliverable that the government can deliver to its citizens. This assists us in planning for the actual execution of the work.
In preparation for my remarks today, I read through the testimony of the Parliamentary Budget Officer and his officials, which was delivered to the committee on October 27. It seems that he and his staff are having difficulty tracking the progress of the money coming from the government. The Recovery.gov experience is a valuable example of how transparency could be an effective tool to promote the good work that's going on in the Government of Canada and at municipal and provincial levels.
In addition, I echo the concern of Brock Carlton, from the Federation of Canadian Municipalities, when he says his membership is concerned that the ISF fund has very restrictive and time-sensitive requirements. In construction, if a job has a number of variants, change partway through the planning stage--like another lane added to a highway or difficulty with soil conditions and bridgework, for example--could delay the completion of a project.
The economic stimulus package is probably the single most important piece of government involvement in our industry in 20 years. Our industry has a lot at stake and so does Canada. We have 1.6 million Canadians in our industry and, according to the Construction Sector Council, we represent 12% of GDP. Ten years ago, we had less than one million people engaged. This means that if there isn't the volume of work that will carry around the current capacity of people, the system will adjust.
:
Sir, I'll deal with the last question first.
On the older worker program, I'd like to say that a number of our trades have been getting involved with displaced auto workers--for example, members of CAW, etc., who have been displaced in southern Ontario. They're working with those organizations to help them retrain.
In Canada it takes three or four years to cook a construction worker. Some of the trades are licensed, so it takes time to get that licence. However, we are working with other parts of the economy to find people who are willing to join our industry and also to get them up to speed.
Is there a particular older worker program? None that I'm aware of, although we are looking at assisting displaced people to come to our industry.
Your first question was around programs, specifically with EI. A lot of our training centres do deliver provincial curriculum. They're sanctioned to deliver the curriculum of Ontario, the curriculum of Quebec, or the curriculum of British Columbia. Those are EI-eligible curriculums.
Is there retraining going on within our ranks? Yes. The Employment Insurance Act is very complicated, but the part II money is generally the money that is used for delivering curriculum, providing assistance to displaced workers, and so on.
Really, our workers benefit in two ways from EI under both parts of the act. Under part I of the act, we benefit when members are out of work and they actually claim EI and get an EI cheque. Under part II, the operating engineers, for example, in Oakville--I don't want to speak for Mr. Schumann--deliver Ontario curriculum for crane operators, so there is also a connection that way.
That would be the best I could provide in terms of an answer.
:
Thank you very much, Madam Chair.
First I'd like to thank our guests. I think it's important that you're here. I think the dialogue we're having with you is very helpful to the whole committee. I have great respect for the building and construction trades. I want to acknowledge what you do, because without you, infrastructure funding doesn't matter, frankly. We need you to make it work. Again, thank you.
I do want to assure you of one thing, just to clarify something. Minister Flaherty has clearly committed that all of the moneys that have been directed to infrastructure funding, subject to the rules that have been put in place, are commitments, and commitments are commitments. There's no sense of reneging on that. I just want to assure you and ask you to assure your colleagues that there's no sense that there's an intention to renege on our commitments.
I really need to say this. I'd like to offer some empathy, and I mean that from my heart. In my family, people have lost their jobs, in particular my father did one time. People in the trades have lost their jobs, and that's difficult. I think all of us around this table feel a huge empathy for those to whom that has occurred.
I'm somewhat buoyed, however, by your comments, Mr. Smillie, that you estimate some 34,000 jobs have been created.
One thing I do want to address--and I think it's something we've talked about--is this timeframe issue, that we have a certain amount of time. I'm always mindful of politicians. I say this having been in the job only fourteen months and three days.
When I look at this whole thing about timeframes, the thing is if you give us time, we'll take all the time in the world. I guess if there were no priorities established.... Again, this was intended to be stimulus. In other words, it should create an environment in which jobs would be created. If we offered no timelines and if we had said to the municipalities, “Here, take it. Away you go. Do what you do, and let us know how it's going. Come back to us when you can”, do you think there would have been the same sense of stimulus in terms of getting jobs going and projects started if it had been much more casual? I'd be interested in your thoughts on that.